Do No Harm Blog: Predictably Unpredictable
Latest entry from Do No Harm‘s blog: Stem Cells that Work
Predictions about science can be, well, unpredictable.
A recent posting on the science/technology website Gizmodo nicely makes the point.
The author reviews a year-end issue of Scientific American from 10 years ago, December 2005, identifying the top 50 scientific trends of the year and where those trends might lead. The author was interested to see how accurate the magazine’s predictions turned out to be 10 years later.
On any number of the predictions, the actual outcomes either fell far short or have not been fulfilled at all. Science can be predictably unpredictable. (more . . .)